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Ensemble precipitation forecasts made with Quantile Regression Forests and deterministic Harmonie-Arome inputs

A gridded 50-member ensemble of precipitation forecasts that are created using a tree-based machine learning method, quantile regression forests, and inputs from the deterministic Harmonie-Arome (HA) forecasts. The target data set is rain-gauge-adjusted radar data that is upscaled by taking 3x3 km means and then a maximum is taken in a 7.5 x 7.5 km box. Inputs to the machine learning model include HA precipitation, and indices of atmospheric instability. Spatial and temporal dependencies are restored using the Schaake Shuffle. Forecasts are available during the extended summer period (mid-April to mid-October). Hourly forecasts are issued 4 times per day (00, 06, 12 en 18 UTC) for 48-hours into the future.

Simple

Date (Publication)
2022-04-15
Edition

1

Citation identifier
urn:xkdc:ds:nl.knmi::QRF-RT-SSh/v2021/
Purpose

Calibrated and skilful gridded ensemble forecasts of summer precipitation in the Netherlands

Status
On going
Point of contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)

opendata@knmi.nl

Point of contact
Maintenance and update frequency
Daily

DG Discovery Properties Vocabulary 1.0

  • Weather forecast

  • Precipitation

  • Machine learning

  • Quantile regression forests

Use limitation

pre-operational, so no guaranteed delivery yet

Access constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.nl

Classification
Unclassified
Spatial representation type
Grid
Language
English
Character set
UTF8
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
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Begin date
2022-04-15
End date
9999-12-31
Reference system identifier
http://www.opengis.net/def/crs/EPSG/0/4326
Distribution format
Name Version

NetCDF

4

Distributor contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)

opendata@knmi.nl

Point of contact
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name

landingpage

https://dataplatform.knmi.nl/catalog/datasets/index.html?x-dataset=QRF-RT-SSh&x-dataset-version=v2021

KNMI Data Platform

Hierarchy level
Dataset
Statement

Bi-linear interpolation from lambert to regular lat-lon

Metadata

File identifier
5f5329b2-ba5f-11ec-9e63-03e9cd57eaeb XML
Metadata language
English
Character set
UTF8
Hierarchy level
Dataset
Date stamp
2025-03-03T13:57:26.958Z
Metadata standard name

ISO 19115

Metadata standard version

ISO 19115:2003 NL Kernset 1.3 KNMI 2.1.0

Metadata author
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)

opendata@knmi.nl

Point of contact
Other language
Language Character encoding
Dutch; Flemish
English UTF8
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

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